Retail & E-Commerce

The retail market in India has undergone a major transformation and has witnessed tremendous growth in the last 10 years. Indian retail market is estimated to reach US$ 2 trillion by 2032, driven by socio-demographic and economic factors such as urbanization, income growth and rise in nuclear families. 

On the other hand, the Indian e-commerce industry is expected to cross US$ 350 billion mark by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 23%.India is one of the most promising and developing marketplaces in the world. There is a great deal of desire among multinational corporations to take advantage of the consumer base in India and to enter the market first. 

Nearly 60 shopping malls encompassing a total retail space of 23.25 million sq. ft are expected to become operational during 2023-25. India ranks among the best countries to invest in the retail space. Factors that make India so attractive include having the largest population in the world, a rising middle-income class, increasing urbanization, connected rural consumers and increased discretionary spending amongst consumers.

  • India is ranked No. 2 in Global Retail Development Index (GRDI) in 2021

  • The retail sector in India accounts for over 10% of the country’s GDP and around 8% of the workforce (35+ million). It is expected to create 25 million new jobs by 2030

  • By 2030 India will add 140 million middle-income and 21 million high-income households – Leading to a huge emerging middle class.

  • Online shoppers in India are expected to reach ~500 million in 2030, more than 2x increase from 220 million users in 2022.

  • Rural per capita consumption will grow 4.3 times by 2030, compared to 3.5 times in urban areas

  • By 2030, India will add nearly 90 million new households headed by millennials, who were born into liberalized India.

  • Increasing demand for organized retail space has helped create a capacity of ~120 million square feet (MSF) in retail space across major Indian cities. Major Indian cities include Delhi (23.7 MSF) and Mumbai (16.7 MSF)

  • Food & Grocery, Apparel & footwear, and consumer electronics are the largest retail segments, constituting 63%, 9% and 7% respectively of the retail market

  • The E-Commerce market is projected to grow at 18% annually through 2025 and is expected to touch US$ 350 billion in GMV by 2030

  • Luxury retail market in India is valued at US$ 30 billion and is steadily growing owing to rising disposable income and increasing investment by foreign brands

  • India’s digital economy is expected to reach US$ 1 trillion by 2030

  • UPI accounts for a significant portion of all digital payments, accounting ~11 billion transactions valuing  US$ 210 billion in Nov 2023 alone

  • Digital payments gross transaction value ($T) is expected to grow from US$ 0.6 trillion in 2022 to US$ 3.1 trillion in 2030

  • Recent policy changes allow 100% FDI under the automatic route for single-brand retail trading and allow such entities to commence e-commerce operations prior to starting brick & mortar retail, provided they do so within 2 years of the start of online retail.